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Physical Description:
Left-hander with a medium frame. Not much projection remaining.
Looks listed height and weight.
Mechanics:
Throws from a low three-quarters arm slot. Atypical delivery
with effort, but it works for him and he repeats it well. Starts
angled toward the first base dugout on the middle of the mound,
hands by his face before sliding toward third base during
wind-up. Swings arm behind with a medium leg kick before coming
forward. Short arm action with a hook behind. Hides the ball
well before delivery. Will spin and recoil on follow through.
Fastball: 90-93 mph, tops out at 95 mph.
Throws both four-seam and two-seam varieties. Can control both,
but shows better feel for two-seam with heavy, arm-side run.
Slightly below-average spin rate. Potential above-average
command profile. Ability to miss bats is dependent on command,
as it is not an overpowering pitch. Designed to elicit weak
contact primarily, but has shown the ability to dial it up at
times. Velocity jumped in 2021 to 92-94 mph, but was back in the
low-90s in 2022. Potential above-average offering.
Changeup: 80-83 mph. Advanced feel and
confidence in pitch. Will throw in any count to hitters on both
sides. Throws with the same arm speed as his fastball. Pitch
drops off the table late. Really can pull the string on it and
elicit lots of swinging strikes. Very high spin rate for a
changeup. Command can be spotty at times and will leave up in
the zone on occasion. Potential plus offering.
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Slider: 80-83 mph. Slurvy, long, two-plane
break. 2-to-8 shape. Average spin rate with significant
horizontal movement. Feel comes and goes during outings, but has
shown the ability to land it for strikes. Tough pitch for
left-handed hitters to read; starts right at their body before
breaking across the plate. Needs to get more consistent
finishing the pitch, as sometimes it will come in loose and
hang. Potential above-average offering.
Career
Notes: Had Tommy John surgery in 2017, missing most of
that season and all of the 2018 season. Late-round senior sign
in 2019. Stuff improved considerably due to work put in during
the cancelled 2020 season, leading to one of the more improbable
breakouts in recent memory in 2021. Rose from being something of
an afterthought in the Low-A bullpen to begin the 2021 season to
being a top-10 prospect in the system in the Triple-A rotation
in less than a year. Participated in the 2022 Winter Warm-Up.
Missed several weeks in June 2022 due to a neck strain.
Summation: Potential back-end starter. Ceiling of a
mid-rotation starter. Will show a starter's arsenal with three
average-or-better pitches and the ability to turn over a lineup,
but does not have a typical starter's delivery. Control is
already above-average-to-plus and command should get to at least
average. You can debate whether he fits better as a starter or
reliever depending on the day you see him. Has some traits that
would push him to each potential outcome, but has the makings of
a major league-caliber arm either way. If pushed to the bullpen,
combination of stuff and handedness gives him a decent floor.
Links
Scouting Report Update (3.8.2022) |
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