Jarren Duran Player Pool Outfield

Age: 24
Born: September 5, 1996
Birthplace: Buena Park, CA
Height: 6-2
Weight: 200
Bats: Left
Throws: Right
Drafted: 7th round, 2018 by BOS
How Acquired: Draft
College: Cal State Long Beach
High School: Cypress (CA)
ETA: Late 2021

Photo © Kelly O'Connor
Jarren Duran photos by Kelly O'Connor
Pronunciation: duh-RAN
First Pro Contract: June 14, 2018 (BOS)
Signing Scout: Justin Horowitz
Signing Bonus: $189,800
Rule 5 Draft Eligible: December 2021
MLFA Eligible: November 2024
Pro Debut: June 17, 2018 (Lowell)
Added to 40-man: -
MLB Debut: -
Service Time (1/21): 0 days
Options Remaining: 3 (0 used)
Contract (2021): MiLB contract
Twitter: @DuranJarren
Instagram: @jarrenduran

  Scouting Report & Links      
  Physical Description: Tall, strong frame. Quick-twitch athlete. Athleticism stands out on the field. Has added strength in his upper body since he joined the system, and specifically was noticeably stronger when he reported to Alternative Training Site workouts in 2020.

Hit: Starts slightly open with his hands down by his belt. Tweaked his setup in 2020, starting with his hands lower down at his chest before bringing them back up in his load, a change made in an attempt to lift the ball more. Simple swing mechanics. Direct swing. Quick hands. Aggressive and will attack early in the count, but can recognize spin and will take a walk. Will take what the pitcher gives him. Has some swing-and-miss in his game and will expand the zone at times. Approach has improved, but will require some refinement against more advanced pitching. Starts upright. Tapped into unexpected offensive potential after signing when he changed his initial setup from that taught to him in college in which he started from a low, wide stance then came up and back. Potential above-average hit tool.

Power: Above-average raw power after 2020 swing adjustments. Increased strength and added loft in swing allow him the drive the ball to all fields, but especially to the pull side. Prior to 2020 change, had below-average raw power. Still needs to show that the swing changes work in real (rather than sim) games, but they could significantly change his in-game power projection. Previously, his swing was not geared for over-the-fence power. Speed will likely lead to more doubles and triples on hard-hit line drives rather than simply his power. Change in initial setup at the plate in Lowell allowed him to tap into significantly more gap-to-gap power than expected when he signed.

Run: True plus-plus speed. Potential difference-maker on the bases. Needs to refine base-stealing instincts, but has the type of speed that puts immense pressure on the defense. In the low minors, at least, speed has allowed him to post unsustainable batting averages on balls in play, as defenses have not been developed enough to throw him out on even some routine plays.

Field: Potential average defender. Has the speed and athleticism teams covet for center field, but is still raw and needs to continue developing in the outfield after moving from second base during his pro debut. Has improved what was initially a slow first step in the outfield, struggling with initial reads. Was able to make up for that due to his speed, but clearly was not yet comfortable. Has the tools to develop into an above-average defender, but tough to project that given his late start and gradual development at the position. First moved to right field, where the line to the plate was similar to that at second base, before converting full-time in 2019 to center field, where his speed could allow him to develop tremendous range. At second base, showed soft hands and fluid actions, though athleticism was somewhat wasted.
  Arm: Fringe-average arm strength. May develop as he continues getting used to the outfield.

Career Notes: Led his high school team to a state title his sophomore year. Put together a strong season for Wareham in the 2017 Cape Cod Summer League. Made it to the Super Regionals with Long Beach State in 2017. Has performed at a much higher level as a pro than even the organization was expecting, due in large part to abandoning much of what he was taught in college and switching to a more natural swing. Participated in the Fall Instructional League in 2018. Flirted with hitting .400 for much of his time in Salem in 2019, but a slight slump in the week or so before his promotion to Portland brought his average below that mark. Played at the Alternate Training Site in 2020, where he showed significant improvements in his power.

Summation: Potential fringe starting outfielder with two carrying tools. Ceiling of an everyday center fielder. Nailing down his future projection is tough without a chance to evaluate swing changes made in 2020 without true game action. Speed is not a question, and hit tool should get to above-average if he can refine his approach. If 2020 power development is real, he could become a dynamic offensive player. Has already shown strong ability to make contact and drive the ball into the gaps. With his speed, has the potential to put a lot of pressure on the defense and inflate his average with infield singles and slugging by taking extra bases. Could also steal 30-plus bases if he improves his instincts. Is still continuing to develop in center field, but likely to develop into at least an average defender there and has the raw tools to become an above-average defender. Has one surefire major league impact tool in his speed, so should have a role on a major league roster even in the worst-case scenario, especially if MLB retains the runner-on-second rule in extra innings going forward.

State of the System: Outfielders (5.13.20)
Video from Pawtucket (8.18.2020)
Video from Pawtucket (8.20.2020)
Video from Pawtucket (9.1.2020)

    Hitting Stats                                          
  year team lg level org age g ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi tb bb so sb cs avg obp slg ops
2016 Long Beach State NCAA Coll --- 19 54 212 33 58 9 2 0 16 71 30 32 13 10 0.274 0.377 0.335 0.712
  2017 Long Beach State NCAA Coll --- 20 58 224 47 69 9 5 0 27 88 18 47 19 8 0.308 0.375 0.393 0.768
  2018 Long Beach State NCAA Coll --- 11 56 222 42 67 8 3 2 22 87 21 32 17 2 0.302 0.380 0.392 0.772
  2018 Lowell NYPL A- Bos 21 37 155 27 54 5 10 2 20 85 11 26 11 5 0.348 0.393 0.548 0.941
  2018 Greenville SAL A Bos 21 30 128 24 47 9 1 1 15 61 5 22 12 6 0.367 0.396 0.477 0.872
  2019 Salem Car A+ Bos 22 50 199 49 77 13 3 4 19 108 23 44 18 5 0.387 0.456 0.543 0.998
  2019 Portland East AA Bos 22 82 320 41 80 11 5 1 19 104 23 84 28 8 0.250 0.309 0.325 0.634
  2019 Peoria AFL Fall Bos 22 24 90 15 24 5 2 1 9 36 10 20 7 2 0.267 0.337 0.400 0.737
  2020 MiLB Season Cancelled --- --- Bos 23 --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
  2020 Caguas LBPRC Wint --- 23 16 55 14 13 2 0 0 10 15 12 14 6 0 0.236 0.386 0.273 0.658
  2020 Puerto Rico CS Wint Bos 23 7 25 7 10 1 1 1 3 16 5 7 3 0 0.400 0.500 0.640 1.140
    2021 Stats                                          
  year team lg level org age g ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi tb bb so sb cs avg obp slg ops
2021 TBD       24     stats                            
  Advanced Stats & Splits
  Awards   SoxProspects.com Awards  
  Red Sox Minor League Base Stealer of the Month (July 2018)
Red Sox Minor League Base Runner of the Month (August 2018)
Carolina League Player of the Week (May 13-19, 2019)
Carolina League Player of the Month (May 2019)
2019 Carolina League All-Star
2019 Futures Game All-Star
2019 Red Sox Minor League Base Runner of the Year
2019 Arizona Fall League Rising Star
2021 LBPRC Championship Series MVP
2021 Caribbean Series All-Star
  SoxProspects.com Player of the Week (July 30 - August 5, 2018)
SoxProspects.com Player of the Week (August 20-26, 2018)
2018 SoxProspects.com All-Star
2018 SoxProspects.com Rookie of the Year
2019 SoxProspects.com Pre-Season All-Star
SoxProspects.com Player of the Week (April 15-21, 2019)
SoxProspects.com Player of the Week (April 21-27, 2019)
SoxProspects.com Player of the Month (April 2019)
SoxProspects.com Player of the Week (May 13-19, 2019)
2019 SoxProspects.com All-Star
2020 SoxProspects.com Pre-Season All-Star

Copyright © 2003-2021 SoxProspects, LLC
All Rights Reserved.
email: info@soxprospects.com
SoxProspects.com is in no way affiliated with the Boston Red Sox, Worcester Red Sox, Portland Sea Dogs, Greenville Drive, Salem Red Sox,  GCL Red Sox, Major League Baseball, or Minor League Baseball..